US dollar hegemony e baka mathata a moruo

Melaoana e mabifi le e hlokang boikarabelo ea lichelete e amohetsoeng ke United States e bakile ho phahama ho hoholo ha litheko lefatšeng ka bophara, ho bakile pherekano e pharalletseng ea moruo le keketseho e kholo ea bofuma, haholo-holo linaheng tse tsoelang pele, litsebi tsa lefats'e li re.

Ho loants'a ho ba le inflation e balehang ea US, e leng holimo ho liperesente tse 9 ka Phuptjane, US Federal Reserve e phahamisitse sekhahla sa tsoala ka makhetlo a mane ho boemo ba hajoale ba karolo ea 2.25 ho isa ho 2.5 lekholong.

Benyamin Poghosyan, molulasetulo oa Setsi sa Lithuto tsa Leano la Lipolotiki le Moruo Yerevan, Armenia, o bolelletse China Daily hore ho phahama ho sentse mebaraka ea lichelete ea lefats'e, 'me linaha tse ngata tse ntseng li tsoela pele li tobane le inflation e phahameng haholo, li leka ho fumana botsitso ba lichelete sefahlehong. ea liqholotso tse fapaneng tsa machaba.

O ile a re: "Ho se ho entse hore euro e fokotsehe haholo le lichelete tse ling tse ling, 'me e tla tsoela pele ho fokotsa theko ea lichelete.

Bareki-lebenkele

Bareki ba reka nama lebenkeleng la Safeway ha inflation e ntse e hola Annapolis, Maryland.

Tunisia, dollar e matla le ho phahama ho hoholo ha theko ea lijo-thollo le matla ho lebeletsoe ho atolosa khaello ea tekanyetso ea naha ho karolo ea 9,7 lekholong ea GDP selemong sena ho tloha esale pele ho 6,7 lekholong, ho boletse 'musisi oa banka e bohareng Marouan Abassi.

 

Qetellong ea selemo sena sekoloto sa naha se hlahelletseng se lebelletsoe ho fihla ho li-dinars tse limilione tse likete tse 114.1 (liranta tse libilione tse 35.9), kapa liperesente tse 82,6 tsa GDP ea eona.Tunisia e habile ho sa feleng haeba ho senyeha ha hona joale ha lichelete tsa eona ho ntse ho tsoela pele, banka ea matsete ea Morgan Stanley e lemositse ka Hlakubele.

 

Theko ea selemo le selemo ea Turkiye e fihlile ho rekoto e phahameng ka liperesente tse 79.6 ka Phupu, e phahameng ka ho fetisisa lilemong tse 24.Dolara e le 'ngoe e ile ea rekisoa ho 18.09 liras tsa Turkey ka Aug 21, e tšoaeang tahlehelo ea boleng ba liperesente tse 100 ha e bapisoa le selemo se fetileng, ha sekhahla sa phapanyetsano e ne e le lira tse 8.45 ho dolara.

 

Ho sa tsotellehe boiteko ba 'muso bo kenyeletsang ho phahamisa moputso o fokolang ho sireletsa batho mathateng a lichelete a bakoang ke ho phahama ha theko e phahameng, Maturkey a ntse a sokola ho iphelisa.

 

Tuncay Yuksel, mong'a lebenkele le rekisang chelete e ngata Ankara, o re lelapa la hae le tšetse lihlahisoa tsa lijo tse kang nama le lebese ho tsoa lethathamong la korosari ka lebaka la litheko tse ntseng li phahama ho tloha qalong ea selemo.

 

"Ntho e 'ngoe le e' ngoe e turu haholo, 'me matla a ho reka a baahi a theohile haholo," Xinhua News Agency e qotsitse Yuksel a rialo."Batho ba bang ha ba khone ho reka litlhoko tsa mantlha."

 

Ho phahama ha sekhahla sa tsoala sa US Fed "ho hlile ho bakile inflation linaheng tse tsoelang pele", 'me mohato ona ha o na boikarabelo, Poghosyan o itse.

 

"US e sebelisa dollar hegemony ho phehella lithahasello tsa eona tsa lipolotiki. US e lokela ho jara boikarabelo bakeng sa liketso tsa eona, haholo-holo ha US e iponahatsa e le mosireletsi oa lefats'e oa litokelo tsa botho ea tsotellang motho e mong le e mong.

 

"E etsa hore bophelo ba batho ba limilione tse mashome bo be mahlomoleng le ho feta, empa ke lumela hore US ha e tsotelle."

 

Jerome Powell, molulasetulo oa US Federal Reserve, o lemositse ka la 26 Aug hore US e kanna ea beha sekhahla se seholo sa tsoala likhoeling tse tlang mme e ikemiselitse ho theola theko e phahameng ka ho fetisisa lilemong tse 40.

Tang Yao, motlatsi oa moprofesa oa Sekolo sa Tsamaiso sa Guanghua Univesithing ea Peking, o itse ho fokotsa theko ea lichelete ke ntho e tlang pele ho Washington, kahoo Fed e lebelletsoe ho boloka litefiso bakeng sa boholo ba selemo se tlang.

Sena se ka baka ho putlama ha lichelete tsa lefats'e, ho tsosa phallo e kholo ea chelete ho tloha mebarakeng ea lefats'e ho ea Amerika le ho theola boleng ba lichelete tse ling tse ngata, Tang o boletse, a eketsa ka hore leano lena le tla etsa hore 'maraka oa stock le bond o theohe le linaha tse fokolang moruong le moruong. metheo ea lichelete ho jara likotsi tse ngata joalo ka ho eketseha ha mekoloto ea likoloto.

Letlōle la Lichelete la Machaba le boetse le lemositse hore boiteko ba Fed ba ho loantša likhatello tsa theko bo ka 'na ba otla limmaraka tse ntseng li hlaha tse tletseng likoloto tsa lichelete tsa kantle ho naha.

"Ho tiea ho sa laoleheng ha maemo a lichelete a lefats'e ho tla ba thata haholo ho linaha tse nang le bofokoli bo phahameng ba lichelete, mathata a sa rarolloang a amanang le seoa le litlhoko tsa bohlokoa tsa lichelete tsa kantle," e boletse joalo.

New York-lebenkele

Sephetho sa Spillover

Wu Haifeng, molaoli ea ka sehloohong oa Setsi sa Fintech sa Shenzhen Institute of Data Economy, le eena o hlahisitse ngongoreho ka phello ea spillover ea leano la Fed, a re e tlisa ho hloka botsitso le pherekano mebarakeng ea machaba 'me e otla moruo o mongata ka thata.

Ho phahamisa litefiso tsa tsoala ha hoa fokotsa theko ea lichelete tsa lehae tsa US ka nepo, kapa hona ho fokotsa litheko tsa bareki ba naha, Wu o itse.

Theko ea theko ea bareki ba US e nyolohile ka liphesente tse 9.1 nakong ea likhoeli tse 12 ho fihlela ka Phuptjane, e leng keketseho e potlakileng ho tloha ka Pulungoana 1981, ho latela lipalo tsa semmuso.

Leha ho le joalo, US ha e ikemisetse ho amohela sena sohle le ho sebetsa le linaha tse ling ho matlafatsa ho ikopanya ha lichaba tsa lefatše hobane ha e batle ho falla khahlanong le lithahasello tse kenyelletsoeng ho kenyeletsa le barui le mekhatlo ea sesole-liindasteri, Wu o itse.

Litefiso tse behiloeng Chaena, mohlala, kapa kotlo leha e le efe linaheng tse ling, ha li na phello ntle le ho etsa hore bareki ba US ba sebelise chelete e ngata le ho sokela moruo oa US, Wu o itse.

Litsebi li bona ho beha likotlo e le tsela e 'ngoe ea hore US e phahamise boemo ba eona ba dollar.

Ho tloha ha ho thehoa tsamaiso ea Bretton Woods ka 1944, dollar ea Amerika e nkile karolo ea chelete ea polokelo ea lefatše, 'me ka mashome a lilemo US e ntse e boloka boemo ba eona e le naha ea pele ea moruo lefatšeng.

Leha ho le joalo, koluoa ​​​​ea lefats'e ea lichelete ea 2008 e ile ea tšoaea qalo ea pheletso ea matla a felletseng a US.Ho fokotseha ha US le "keketseho ea ba bang", ho kenyeletsoa China, Russia, India le Brazil, li phephelitse boholo ba US, Poghosyan o itse.

Ha US e qala ho tobana le tlholisano e ntseng e hola ho tsoa litsing tse ling tsa matla, e nkile qeto ea ho sebelisa hampe karolo ea dollar joalo ka chelete ea polokelo ea lefats'e boitekong ba eona ba ho kenyelletsa ho phahama ha ba bang le ho boloka matla a US.

E sebelisa boemo ba dollar, US e ile ea tšosa linaha le lik'hamphani, e re e tla li khaola tsamaisong ea lichelete tsa machaba haeba li sa latele leano la US, o boletse joalo.

"Mohlaseluoa oa pele oa leano lena e ne e le Iran, e ileng ea behoa tlas'a likotlo tse matla tsa moruo," Poghosyan o itse."Eaba US e nkile qeto ea ho sebelisa leano lena la likotlo khahlano le China, haholoholo khahlano le lik'hamphani tsa mehala tsa China, joalo ka Huawei le ZTE, tseo e neng e le bahlolisani ba bohlokoa bakeng sa linatla tsa IT tsa Amerika libakeng tse kang marang-rang a 5G le bohlale ba maiketsetso."

Bahoebi-sebetsa

Sesebelisoa sa Geopolitical

Mmuso oa Amerika o sebelisa dolara le ho feta joalo ka sesebelisoa sa mantlha sa ho ntšetsa pele lithahasello tsa ona tsa lipolotiki le ho ba le keketseho ea ba bang, ts'epo ho dolara e ntse e fokotseha, mme linaha tse ngata tse ntseng li tsoela pele li ikemiselitse ho e tlohela joalo ka chelete ea mantlha ea khoebo, Poghosyan o itse. .

"Linaha tseo li lokela ho qaqisa mekhoa ea ho fokotsa ho itšetleha ha tsona ho dolara ea Amerika, ho seng joalo li tla lula li le kotsing ea US ea ho senya moruo oa tsona."

Tang oa Sekolo sa Tsamaiso sa Guanghua o khothalelitse hore linaha tse ntseng li hōla moruong li lokela ho fapanyetsana khoebong le licheleteng ka ho eketsa palo ea balekane ba ka sehloohong ba khoebo le mehloli ea lichelete le libaka tsa ho tsetela, ka boiteko ba ho fokotsa ho itšetleha ha bona moruong oa Amerika.

Ho tlosoa ha dollar ho ne ho tla ba thata nakong e khutšoanyane le e bohareng empa tsamaiso ea lichelete ea lefats'e e matla le e fapaneng e ka fokotsa ho itšetleha ka lidolara tsa Amerika le ho tsitsisa taolo ea lichelete tsa machaba, Tang o itse.

Linaha tse ngata li theotse sekoloto sa US seo li nang le sona 'me li se li qalile ho fapanyetsana lichelete tsa tsona tsa kantle ho naha.

Banka ea Iseraele e phatlalalitse ka April hore e kentse lichelete tsa Canada, Australia, Japane le Chaena libakeng tsa eona tsa lichelete tsa kantle ho naha, tseo pele li neng li lekanyelitsoe ho dolara ea Amerika, ponto ea Brithani le euro.

Lidolara tsa Amerika li etsa liperesente tse 61 tsa polokelo ea naha ea kantle ho naha, ha li bapisoa le liperesente tse 66.5 pele.

Banka e bohareng ea Egepeta e boetse e bolokile leano le fapaneng la potefolio ka ho reka lithane tse 44 tsa khauta kotareng ea pele ea selemo sena, keketseho ea 54 lekholong, Lekhotla la Lefatše la Khauta le boletse.

 

Linaha tse ling tse kang India le Iran li buisana ka monyetla oa ho sebelisa lichelete tsa naha khoebong ea tsona ea machaba.

Moetapele ea Phahameng oa Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei o kopile ka Phupu bakeng sa ho lahloa butle ha dollar khoebong ea linaha tse peli le Russia.Ka la 19 Phupu rephaboliki ea Islamic e ile ea qala khoebo ea rial-rouble 'marakeng oa eona oa phapanyetsano ea kantle ho naha.

"Dolara e ntse e boloka karolo ea eona e le chelete ea polokelo ea lefats'e, empa ts'ebetso ea ho tlosa dollar e se e qalile ho potlaka," ho boletse Poghosyan.

Hape, phetoho ea taelo ea ka mor'a Ntoa ea Cold e tla fella ka hore ho thehoe lefats'e la lipolanete tse ngata le ho fela ha hegemony e feletseng ea US, o itse.


Nako ea poso: Sep-05-2022